Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.617131 0.689069 0.767043 0.858002 0.961404 1.075532 1.211363
2025-03-16 0.496047 0.592399 0.705097 0.847344 1.023067 1.234276 1.509224
2025-03-23 0.436167 0.544447 0.677656 0.854960 1.086819 1.382534 1.792767
2025-03-30 0.385389 0.498157 0.642560 0.843137 1.117847 1.485741 2.023916
2025-04-06 0.348450 0.464017 0.617170 0.837894 1.152658 1.592749 2.267787
2025-04-13 0.308478 0.421064 0.574600 0.802843 1.139668 1.628279 2.409093
2025-04-20 0.288724 0.403669 0.564851 0.811867 1.188952 1.756441 2.701526
2025-04-27 0.271911 0.388605 0.556490 0.821129 1.238079 1.887620 3.012579
2025-05-04 0.256566 0.374153 0.547367 0.827640 1.282448 2.014390 3.330149
2025-05-11 0.241986 0.359511 0.536452 0.829797 1.319138 2.131150 3.643398
2025-05-18 0.230903 0.349239 0.531193 0.840053 1.369352 2.274540 4.020508
2025-05-25 0.214971 0.330148 0.510470 0.822838 1.370794 2.332813 4.246454
2025-06-01 0.207015 0.323437 0.509451 0.839180 1.433177 2.507886 4.723153
2025-06-08 0.194921 0.309163 0.494987 0.831146 1.451208 2.603684 5.056735
2025-06-15 0.186784 0.300797 0.489634 0.838387 1.497419 2.756729 5.527898
2025-06-22 0.176090 0.287372 0.474636 0.826842 1.506795 2.838530 5.857905
2025-06-29 0.167369 0.276739 0.463689 0.821713 1.527779 2.945228 6.257156
2025-07-06 0.154771 0.258592 0.438286 0.787427 1.487880 2.922410 6.357373
2025-07-13 0.149681 0.253358 0.435627 0.796254 1.535537 3.088337 6.924384
2025-07-20 0.144964 0.248481 0.433241 0.805314 1.584345 3.261832 7.536135
2025-07-27 0.140182 0.243179 0.429684 0.811682 1.627922 3.428331 8.156295
2025-08-03 0.135150 0.237107 0.424263 0.813793 1.662381 3.577726 8.755759
2025-08-10 0.131425 0.233247 0.422782 0.823824 1.715129 3.775553 9.517607